immoongirl
0xc151815304cf2bb0cc8a9c3e21ff862d5e21c0c5
- Realised P&L
- $-570.26
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $30.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.495 | 0.055 | $30.76 | −$246.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.39at 0.970Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$6.63at 0.911Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$6.08at 0.466Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.67at 0.750Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$1.95at 0.934No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 05:26 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $84.13 |
| 05-21 05:25 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $90.80 |
| 05-21 05:24 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4191850191 | $102.87 |
| 05-21 05:23 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4935054176 | $193.00 |
| 05-21 05:18 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3865102157 | $115.21 |
| 03-16 12:04 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $193.75 |
| 03-16 12:04 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3094876603 | $193.75 |
| 01-28 05:32 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7159999992 | $245.98 |
| 01-28 05:30 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $445.98 |
| 01-28 05:28 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $446.43 |
| 01-28 05:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | SELL | 0.998 | $446.44 |
| 01-28 05:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999985 | $446.89 |
| 01-28 05:21 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $31.76 |
| 01-28 05:21 | Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | SELL | 0.998 | $415.13 |
| 01-28 05:20 | Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $415.55 |