smartYolo
0xc13f4e1ffceddd0d5caadec43ce6e93e5fd783d3
- Realised P&L
- $825.31
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $944.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.420 | $587.17 | +$376.30 |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.090 | $134.23 | −$43.44 |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.145 | $129.17 | −$47.62 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.065 | $63.21 | −$36.79 |
| Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.052 | $30.66 | −$19.34 |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.76 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.345Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
- +$422.84at 0.291Will Solana dip to $80 on April 1?
- +$233.51at 0.387Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?
- +$117.01at 0.390Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$70.84at 0.727Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 08:32 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2059680406 | $93.64 |
| 06-23 04:22 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1897544009 | $100.00 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2079957515 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 13:02 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1195230145 | $77.68 |
| 06-02 13:01 | Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0856112246 | $50.00 |
| 06-02 13:01 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 13:00 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1028268014 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 02:54 | Will Solana reach $100 in May? | BUY | 0.0264864426 | $9.76 |
| 05-22 02:26 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 03:51 | Will Solana reach $100 in May? | BUY | 0.6996501749 | $100.00 |
| 05-13 03:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 04-29 15:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | SELL | 0.0581317085 | $216.00 |
| 04-24 11:57 | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $300.00 |
| 04-20 14:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | SELL | 0.0152945038 | $12.46 |
| 04-14 06:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | BUY | 0.3099999991 | $188.96 |