PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc138c936ec099c8055e184e13d829c064bf106e3

Realised P&L
$-1.70
Volume
$36.89
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$8.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.5300.994$2.87+$1.34
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7700.890$1.77+$0.24
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6700.655$1.50$0.03
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6600.600$1.39$0.14
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.3870.318$1.26$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:03Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6699998818$1.53
09-15 15:37Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3869999385$1.53
09-14 07:03Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.769999995$1.53
09-13 23:02Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6599999482$1.53
09-11 21:09Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.7799999592$1.53
09-11 01:54SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.3699999226$1.53
09-10 17:53Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998608$1.53
09-10 09:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6699998818$1.53
09-10 01:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.6$1.53
09-09 16:45Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.3$1.53
09-09 08:42WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9?BUY0.8$1.53
09-08 16:11LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.53
09-08 04:01Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.409999925$1.53
09-07 16:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5299999203$1.53