0xc138c936ec099c8055e184e13d829c064bf106e3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.70
- Volume
- $36.89
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $8.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.994 | $2.87 | +$1.34 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.890 | $1.77 | +$0.24 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.655 | $1.50 | −$0.03 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.600 | $1.39 | −$0.14 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.318 | $1.26 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.600US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.75at 0.670US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.61at 0.718Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.43at 0.780Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$0.36at 0.811LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:03 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6699998818 | $1.53 |
| 09-15 15:37 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3869999385 | $1.53 |
| 09-14 07:03 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.769999995 | $1.53 |
| 09-13 23:02 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999482 | $1.53 |
| 09-11 21:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7799999592 | $1.53 |
| 09-11 01:54 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.3699999226 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 17:53 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998608 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 09:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6699998818 | $1.53 |
| 09-10 01:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.53 |
| 09-09 16:45 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.53 |
| 09-09 08:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.53 |
| 09-08 16:11 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.53 |
| 09-08 04:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.409999925 | $1.53 |
| 09-07 16:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5299999203 | $1.53 |