dfeb
0xc133bd920d0e91ab19b5c43fbc96d032df0f95a6
- Realised P&L
- $-79.08
- Volume
- $108.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $24.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $18.25 | −$103.44 |
| Will Solana dip to $10 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $2.12 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $1.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in September? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $1.39 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in September? · No | 0.988 | 0.994 | $1.12 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.68at 0.006Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$4.00at 0.007Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.58at 0.983Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
- +$0.60at 0.993Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.42at 0.999Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:09 | Will Solana dip to $50 in September? | BUY | 0.9879999929 | $1.11 |
| 09-07 17:07 | Will Solana dip to $30 in September? | BUY | 0.9959995156 | $1.39 |
| 09-07 17:07 | Will Solana dip to $20 in September? | BUY | 0.9969995818 | $1.80 |
| 09-07 17:07 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.12 |
| 06-29 16:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 06-29 16:07 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on June 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.04 |
| 06-29 16:05 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $225 on June 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 06-29 16:05 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 on June 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 06-29 16:05 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on June 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 06-29 16:03 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on June 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.04 |
| 05-01 08:25 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9989994621 | $1.30 |
| 05-01 08:20 | Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 08:19 | Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.20 |
| 05-01 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 03-04 06:36 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $116.10 |