Notarealtrader
0xc13341349bfb3adcc9a122bce5b88664bbd3352a
- Realised P&L
- $-229.96
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $411.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.75at 0.866Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
- +$22.54at 0.848Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
- +$18.04at 0.880Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$17.56at 0.887Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
- +$17.40at 0.813Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:27 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9439999998 | $107.00 |
| 11-01 07:27 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 03:16 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $158.10 |
| 10-29 04:14 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.9509999988 | $39.00 |
| 10-29 04:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.869999993 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 02:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 02:02 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 02:02 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 02:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 02:01 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 01:59 | Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.964999983 | $29.00 |
| 10-29 01:55 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.954 | $53.33 |
| 10-29 01:54 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.8299999997 | $75.00 |
| 10-28 15:30 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.9722758117 | $153.03 |
| 10-27 06:18 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |