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Traders

Notarealtrader

0xc13341349bfb3adcc9a122bce5b88664bbd3352a

Realised P&L
$-229.96
Volume
$22.5k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$411.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.9440.962$108.98+$1.98
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.8000.820$51.25+$1.25
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? · No0.8700.725$41.67−$8.33
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.9510.959$39.33+$0.33
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? · No0.9650.966$29.02+$0.01
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat? · Yes0.8600.850$19.77−$0.23
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · No0.9290.909$19.57−$0.43
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.915$15.78+$0.78
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? · Yes0.8700.885$15.26+$0.26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.8600.885$10.30+$0.30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · No0.8700.890$10.23+$0.23
Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat? · No0.8600.875$10.17+$0.17
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? · Yes0.8600.870$10.12+$0.12
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? · Yes0.8500.855$10.06+$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8500.845$9.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:27US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9439999998$107.00
11-01 07:27Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.8$50.00
11-01 03:16Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?SELL0.79$158.10
10-29 04:14GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.9509999988$39.00
10-29 04:10Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?BUY0.869999993$15.00
10-29 02:03Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
10-29 02:02Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
10-29 02:02Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat?BUY0.8599999983$10.00
10-29 02:01Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?BUY0.8599999983$10.00
10-29 02:01Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
10-29 01:59Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?BUY0.964999983$29.00
10-29 01:55Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.954$53.33
10-29 01:54Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?BUY0.8299999997$75.00
10-28 15:30Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.9722758117$153.03
10-27 06:18Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9199999985$25.00