PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pipidastr221

0xc1331275fe7ad201cb77cc916f41dc5732c100dc

Realised P&L
$8.74
Volume
$190.90
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$12.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Melania say "White House" during her NC remarks? · Yes0.2701.000$9.26+$6.76
Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference? · No0.6200.630$2.32+$0.04
Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference? · No0.7100.475$1.26$0.62
Will Little Rock, AR face tornado risk on September 15? · Yes0.0300.001$0.02$1.07
Will Melania say "Scholarship" during her NC remarks? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.63
Will Melania say "Safe" or "Safer" or "Safety" during her NC remarks? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 15:13Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on September 15?SELL0.0072783751$0.30
09-15 15:01Will Little Rock, AR face tornado risk on September 15?BUY0.0299999994$1.09
09-15 14:33Will Melania say "White House" during her NC remarks?BUY0.2699999784$2.50
09-15 14:20Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on September 15?BUY0.0269999999$1.13
09-15 13:57Will Melania say "Scholarship" during her NC remarks?BUY0.2699999569$1.63
09-15 11:35Will Melania say "Safe" or "Safer" or "Safety" during her NC remarks?BUY0.6799998446$1.05
09-15 11:08Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference?BUY0.6199999565$2.28
09-15 09:13Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference?BUY0.7099999773$1.88
09-14 13:18Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?SELL0.72$1.39
09-14 13:18Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.994$1.99
09-14 13:18Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.997$2.44
09-14 13:15Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?BUY0.7399998965$1.43
09-10 23:39Will Trump say "Jet Fuel" during remarks at the Pentagon?BUY0.7299999841$1.84
09-10 23:32Will Trump say "American Flag" during remarks at the Pentagon?BUY0.6899999668$1.04
09-10 23:20Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7799999724$2.26