hanhan12
0xc12999886d2775106ef1b161d215968b0131678d
- Realised P&L
- $-138.99
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $23.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.170 | $18.38 | −$21.62 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.050 | $5.00 | −$11.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up | 0.709 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up | 0.649 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.87 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.78at 0.114Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
- +$8.14at 0.041Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$-5.24at 0.126Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
- +$-18.89at 0.270Iran leadership change by March 31?
- +$-19.48at 0.270Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 04:17 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.094702547 | $10.52 |
| 05-17 17:01 | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | SELL | 0.0362706 | $9.07 |
| 05-14 19:18 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 05-14 19:12 | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 05-14 04:53 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0520665438 | $38.14 |
| 04-07 21:45 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $19.76 |
| 04-07 21:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $26.20 |
| 03-28 06:26 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0409580317 | $30.00 |
| 03-28 06:13 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2876967508 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 19:05 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2451340883 | $20.00 |
| 03-22 19:04 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0359281403 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 19:03 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $11.11 |
| 03-14 20:58 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.40 |
| 03-14 10:48 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1135793496 | $10.00 |
| 03-12 20:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.2290001772 | $50.00 |