PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hanhan12

0xc12999886d2775106ef1b161d215968b0131678d

Realised P&L
$-138.99
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$23.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.3700.170$18.38$21.62
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1600.050$5.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.7090.000$0.00$9.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.6490.000$0.00$9.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$20.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$10.00
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2880.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 04:17Israel closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.094702547$10.52
05-17 17:01Iran closes its airspace by May 18?SELL0.0362706$9.07
05-14 19:18Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
05-14 19:12Iran closes its airspace by May 18?BUY0.12$30.00
05-14 04:53Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.0520665438$38.14
04-07 21:45Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.1$19.76
04-07 21:44Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.12$26.20
03-28 06:26Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0409580317$30.00
03-28 06:13Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2876967508$10.00
03-22 19:05Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.2451340883$20.00
03-22 19:04Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.0359281403$10.00
03-22 19:03Iran leadership change by March 31?SELL0.1$11.11
03-14 20:58Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?SELL0.05$4.40
03-14 10:48Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY0.1135793496$10.00
03-12 20:07Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2290001772$50.00