0xc127ebb154074ce3bbdc1d9d8a31c62f30c10203
0xc127ebb154074ce3bbdc1d9d8a31c62f30c10203
- Realised P&L
- $20.72
- Volume
- $229.81
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $5.46
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.923 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · No | 0.260 | 0.305 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.570 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · No | 0.420 | 0.315 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.585 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.060 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? · Down | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.72at 0.218Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
- +$3.62at 0.227Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14?
- +$2.90at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:56 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 23:49 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 15:48 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:01 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:02 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 00:13 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 08:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:33 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 03:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:49 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:23 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:12 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |