0xc123e2ade82d636a2b79b23939cc7eadd51e8b19
0xc123e2ade82d636a2b79b23939cc7eadd51e8b19
- Realised P&L
- $6.08
- Volume
- $382.94
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.145 | $3.19 | −$0.99 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.072 | $3.04 | −$1.24 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 400k? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.035 | $0.98 | −$2.94 |
| Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.110 | $0.13 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.56at 0.190Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
- +$0.44at 0.090Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 500k?
- +$-0.70at 0.180SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?
- +$-2.19at 0.100Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?
- +$-3.04at 0.131Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 19:56 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.75 |
| 09-26 06:41 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.93 |
| 09-24 16:20 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.18 |
| 09-24 16:20 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.63 |
| 09-24 16:20 | SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.98 |