0xC10C10C34a33C8f18ebD576Be1fc8B38CefE9BB3-1775798415241
0xc10c10c34a33c8f18ebd576be1fc8b38cefe9bb3
- Realised P&L
- $379.53
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $225.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.013 | $178.46 | +$7.14 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $46.94 | −$20.11 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.16 |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5) · Zverev | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.12 |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.24 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 · Under | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.16 |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.44 |
| Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5 · Over | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.81 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.66 |
| Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.12 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.01 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5 · Over | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.10at 0.577Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
- +$129.10at 0.52776ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5
- +$85.32at 0.517Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5
- +$33.49at 0.547Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5
- +$28.48at 0.750Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 04:44 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $67.06 |
| 05-13 04:42 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $14.12 |
| 05-12 05:08 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.55 | $16.67 |
| 05-11 11:19 | Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $18.12 |
| 05-10 05:45 | Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $13.66 |
| 05-09 04:02 | Machac vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $12.48 |
| 05-08 05:28 | Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $17.56 |
| 05-07 02:28 | Bucsa vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $5.87 |
| 05-07 02:28 | Bucsa vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $11.09 |
| 05-06 06:40 | Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $42.44 |
| 05-04 06:54 | Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $22.24 |
| 05-03 04:37 | Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $25.63 |
| 05-02 08:34 | Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $23.47 |
| 05-01 03:40 | 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $12.50 |
| 04-30 09:39 | Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $28.72 |