Speaker-NancyPelosi
0xc109ae1aebb28caced2c94044f177912f7ff450b
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $169.0k
- Markets traded
- 779
- Open portfolio
- $122.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded779
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$665.96at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?
- +$239.68at 0.689Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 11?
- +$232.10at 0.745Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 6?
- +$172.18at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?
- +$141.44at 0.707Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 17:39 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.40 |
| 09-09 06:15 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 08-22 19:06 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $30.57 |
| 08-18 18:50 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-17 11:25 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.175 | $0.88 |
| 08-17 11:16 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 10:51 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.291 | $2.91 |
| 08-17 09:21 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $26.60 |
| 08-17 09:21 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $26.60 |
| 08-17 09:21 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $26.60 |
| 08-17 08:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.13 |
| 08-17 08:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.13 |
| 08-17 08:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.13 |
| 08-16 12:25 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.55 |
| 08-16 09:17 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.33 |