ISMS2222
0xc10972c04ce8ad1ac5168821463e4a80a98f1ad2
- Realised P&L
- $131.1k
- Volume
- $6.14M
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $40.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.1kat 0.168GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$61.4kat 0.661Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$27.1kat 0.609Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?
- +$26.8kat 0.187Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$25.8kat 0.296Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:17 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0147379958 | $4.4k |
| 08-03 01:57 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0844952168 | $4.2k |
| 08-03 01:57 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.08 | $687.25 |
| 08-01 20:28 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.138 | $194.73 |
| 07-31 08:19 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.093 | $773.39 |
| 07-31 08:18 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.135 | $335.97 |
| 07-30 05:57 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.132 | $280.35 |
| 07-24 12:06 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.09 | $492.28 |
| 07-24 12:05 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.089 | $1.7k |
| 07-24 12:01 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1447101699 | $2.8k |
| 07-22 05:43 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0811593623 | $986.73 |
| 07-20 11:35 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.079704574 | $2.3k |
| 07-01 12:52 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1145069016 | $2.3k |
| 07-01 12:51 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0615137683 | $3.6k |
| 06-30 23:12 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0969673064 | $4.1k |