PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ISMS2222

0xc10972c04ce8ad1ac5168821463e4a80a98f1ad2

Realised P&L
$131.1k
Volume
$6.14M
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$40.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0750.093$18.6k+$3.6k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1230.146$14.3k+$2.3k
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.015$4.6k+$227.53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1150.146$2.9k+$642.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$502.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.5050.000$0.00$98.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Down0.4590.000$0.00$98.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$49.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down0.3750.000$0.00$394.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00$985.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.5430.000$0.00$492.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.5260.000$0.00$984.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down0.7060.000$0.00$430.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:17Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0147379958$4.4k
08-03 01:57Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0844952168$4.2k
08-03 01:57Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.08$687.25
08-01 20:28Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.138$194.73
07-31 08:19Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.093$773.39
07-31 08:18Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.135$335.97
07-30 05:57Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.132$280.35
07-24 12:06Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.09$492.28
07-24 12:05Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.089$1.7k
07-24 12:01Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1447101699$2.8k
07-22 05:43Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0811593623$986.73
07-20 11:35Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.079704574$2.3k
07-01 12:52Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1145069016$2.3k
07-01 12:51Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0615137683$3.6k
06-30 23:12Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0969673064$4.1k