0xC0FC8D8402BB3c5819D4797020BF441cd038469D-1781838804465
0xc0fc8d8402bb3c5819d4797020bf441cd038469d
- Realised P&L
- $-74.62
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $863.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.23at 0.637Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
- +$90.30at 0.729Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$78.64at 0.815Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$54.34at 0.647Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$27.55at 0.785France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 07:54 | Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.961 | $3.34 |
| 09-13 07:54 | Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.964 | $41.62 |
| 09-13 07:53 | Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.972 | $29.06 |
| 09-12 21:54 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | SELL | 0.93 | $91.60 |
| 09-09 04:45 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-02 19:13 | Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $84.93 |
| 09-02 16:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $95.40 |
| 09-02 01:11 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.82 |
| 09-01 19:24 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $84.60 |
| 09-01 18:31 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $84.93 |
| 09-01 15:58 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.969 | $77.52 |
| 09-01 07:09 | Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $84.39 |
| 09-01 03:56 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.86 | $84.71 |
| 08-30 08:32 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 08-19 21:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | SELL | 0.459 | $41.50 |