0xC0FC8D8402BB3c5819D4797020BF441cd038469D-1781838804465
0xc0fc8d8402bb3c5819d4797020bf441cd038469d
- Realised P&L
- $-145.01
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $630.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.23at 0.637Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
- +$90.30at 0.729Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$78.64at 0.815Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$54.34at 0.647Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$27.55at 0.785France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 05:54 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.94 |
| 10-24 17:56 | Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.994 | $17.13 |
| 10-24 17:55 | Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-24 05:55 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $132.54 |
| 10-22 17:58 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.972 | $48.60 |
| 10-22 05:58 | Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 10-16 18:03 | Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.96 | $21.36 |
| 10-10 17:59 | Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.935 | $48.62 |
| 09-18 05:56 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-13 07:54 | Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.961 | $3.34 |
| 09-13 07:54 | Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.964 | $41.62 |
| 09-13 07:53 | Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.972 | $29.06 |
| 09-12 21:54 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | SELL | 0.93 | $91.60 |
| 09-09 04:45 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-02 19:13 | Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $84.93 |