bsdsch
0xc0f2b19538b5a318c90944e090f5ff22e32ca822
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $215.6k
- Markets traded
- 394
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded394
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.400Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$1.3kat 0.820Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.2kat 0.444Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
- +$1.2kat 0.500Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Timofey Skatov
- +$1.1kat 0.598Split: Andrej Nedic vs Jelle Sels
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 02:02 | Will Dominic Bouffard win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.1123846154 | $2.92 |
| 10-05 02:01 | Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.780782297 | $100.21 |
| 10-05 02:00 | Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.195 | $9.75 |
| 10-05 01:34 | Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.2447564103 | $57.27 |
| 10-05 01:33 | Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.3743124225 | $30.19 |
| 10-05 01:32 | Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.1718556712 | $16.68 |
| 10-05 01:31 | Will Frédéric Poulin win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.7131755633 | $235.81 |
| 10-05 01:30 | Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4501 | $45.01 |
| 10-05 01:29 | Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.3243260667 | $38.23 |
| 10-05 01:29 | Will Frédéric Côté win the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 10-05 01:28 | Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.74 |
| 10-05 01:28 | Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.5318212735 | $203.29 |
| 10-05 01:28 | Will Étienne Grandmont win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.5073643576 | $285.21 |
| 10-05 01:26 | Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.8538461538 | $55.50 |
| 10-05 01:25 | Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.8192091861 | $258.98 |