NikuX
0xc0f0ef925da77cce25804cfd68bfa1d0f93010ef
- Realised P&L
- $-9.2k
- Volume
- $151.7k
- Markets traded
- 861
- Open portfolio
- $8.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded861
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.100 | $2.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.700 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.650 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.285 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.295 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.240 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.215 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.53at 0.170Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
- +$27.33at 0.185Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
- +$22.45at 0.116Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$14.22at 0.199Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$13.27at 0.238Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 22:25 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:24 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:24 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:23 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:15 | Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.25 |
| 10-27 20:27 | Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:27 | Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 00:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.32 |
| 10-25 18:50 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 15:57 | Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.92 |
| 10-25 14:40 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:39 | Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:39 | Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:38 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 14:13 | Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |