MTugy
0xc0f01e70ed94989373479727ba33c1b2874fc3bc
- Realised P&L
- $-171.36
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.090 | $3.91 | −$6.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.14at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$22.43at 0.774Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$11.83at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$11.58at 0.467Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$8.27at 0.552LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 12:31 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | SELL | 0.999 | $18.49 |
| 08-06 09:56 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 13:14 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $143.97 |
| 07-18 20:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 20:15 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 11:45 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 07-10 19:33 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.0549999486 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |