wiggasinparis
0xc0e524c7e58c89b8b8c8a8330697efcfa83d6208
- Realised P&L
- $-12.2k
- Volume
- $1.39M
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $958.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.151 | $958.42 | −$8.73 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.94 |
| Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? · No | 0.582 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$434.49 |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? · No | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Apr 25? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.58 |
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? · No | 0.695 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.061US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$9.3kat 0.866Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$2.7kat 0.695Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$1.7kat 0.610Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$400.81at 0.766Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:21 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1589280459 | $53.94 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1525391818 | $913.23 |
| 06-02 12:37 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $670.80 |
| 06-02 12:08 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.009362249 | $3.6k |
| 06-02 06:00 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.4k |
| 06-02 05:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0058122066 | $555.00 |
| 06-01 15:49 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5418645715 | $6.5k |
| 06-01 15:28 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5142503007 | $1.1k |
| 06-01 14:35 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.645847324 | $2.3k |
| 04-07 22:55 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.8707878767 | $2.5k |
| 04-07 19:21 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.060685898 | $700.00 |
| 04-07 14:08 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.0405076308 | $698.41 |
| 04-07 12:36 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $500.00 |
| 03-28 08:47 | Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | SELL | 0.1547678899 | $337.39 |
| 03-28 08:18 | Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.2275857611 | $492.27 |