0xC0d4569a207BAa6A4B979BCb526415B3c2615cF9-1779690870490
0xc0d4569a207baa6a4b979bcb526415b3c2615cf9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.97
- Volume
- $164.73
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $14.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.967 | $6.12 | +$1.12 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.610 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.235 | $2.80 | −$2.20 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.002 | $0.12 | −$11.88 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Hurricanes win? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.76at 0.740US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.26at 0.950US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.988Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 10:35 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? | BUY | 0.0696621386 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 13:31 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 13:30 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 08:24 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? | BUY | 0.1844187055 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 06:39 | Will Hurricanes win? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 05-29 06:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4035432883 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 06:36 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 08:50 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999242 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 07:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 07:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-26 07:12 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.9879999984 | $5.00 |