PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC0d4569a207BAa6A4B979BCb526415B3c2615cF9-1779690870490

0xc0d4569a207baa6a4b979bcb526415b3c2615cf9

Realised P&L
$-9.97
Volume
$164.73
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$14.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7900.967$6.12+$1.12
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes0.5900.610$5.17+$0.17
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.4200.235$2.80−$2.20
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? · Yes0.1450.002$0.12−$11.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.4040.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Hurricanes win? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 10:35Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?BUY0.0696621386$2.00
06-03 13:31Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
06-03 13:30Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
06-01 08:24Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF?BUY0.1844187055$10.00
05-29 06:39Will Hurricanes win?BUY0.179999928$2.00
05-29 06:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4035432883$5.00
05-29 06:36US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
05-27 08:50US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.7899999242$5.00
05-26 07:34US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.95$5.00
05-26 07:14US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999674$5.00
05-26 07:12Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.9879999984$5.00