PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc0bd27d82bfcf2149155019a8ffaeec44979acf5

Realised P&L
$8.22
Volume
$221.57
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$4.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes0.7500.830$2.21+$0.21
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.3000.295$1.97$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.2500.086$0.69$1.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:48Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-15 04:11Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.7499999063$2.00
09-14 08:00Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
09-14 00:00Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
09-13 15:58Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-13 07:29Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-13 05:19Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
09-07 22:02Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
09-07 13:49Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
09-03 22:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
09-03 14:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
09-01 12:20Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.64$2.00
09-01 04:20Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.5$2.00
08-22 02:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.7699996171$1.85
08-21 18:38Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00