0xc0bd27d82bfcf2149155019a8ffaeec44979acf5
- Realised P&L
- $8.22
- Volume
- $221.57
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $4.87
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.830 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.086 | $0.69 | −$1.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.400Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:48 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 04:11 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 08:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 07:29 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 05:19 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 22:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 13:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 22:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 14:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 12:20 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 04:20 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 02:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.7699996171 | $1.85 |
| 08-21 18:38 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |