tryingnewthingsinlife
0xc0a8bc75c756b11fdff627c671075560399715c7
- Realised P&L
- $-241.38
- Volume
- $91.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,674
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,674
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.003 | $1.00 | −$91.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.43at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$202.76at 0.408Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$185.96at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$171.86at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$147.29at 0.357Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 21:16 | Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.015 | $4.50 |
| 05-26 21:15 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.52 |
| 04-06 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.36 |
| 04-06 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 04-06 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.36 |
| 04-06 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $2.53 |
| 04-06 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.52 |
| 04-06 21:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.36 |
| 04-06 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $2.33 |
| 04-06 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.51 |
| 04-06 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 04-06 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $2.50 |
| 04-06 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.51 |
| 04-06 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.13 | $2.50 |
| 04-06 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $2.53 |