PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CineMa

0xc0a612d151395266c3469edcc4a2a6bfda172ab9

Realised P&L
$-8.5k
Volume
$526.5k
Markets traded
2,161
Open portfolio
$560.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,161
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.041$113.49+$13.49
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? · No0.8500.940$101.98+$9.76
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.7600.997$90.67+$21.55
Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.6990.765$46.32+$3.97
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7500.735$29.40$0.60
Will MrBeast hit 140.5 billion views by September 30? · Yes0.9800.998$25.56+$0.46
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes0.5900.615$24.60+$1.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.4000.365$21.13$2.03
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.7000.145$20.71$79.29
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1900.130$15.60$7.20
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8100.495$12.38$7.88
Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? · Grüne0.9200.850$10.63$0.88
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.0700.140$10.00+$5.00
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.1550.038$9.51$29.37
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.090$7.20$39.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:43Will FK Polissia vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih end in a draw?BUY0.119999999$5.00
09-18 14:41Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina PapamichailBUY0.1899999998$10.00
09-18 14:40Caldas da Rainha: Jeline Vandromme vs Francisca JorgeBUY0.1799999986$10.00
09-18 11:56Valencia: Clara Burel vs Guiomar MaristanyBUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-18 11:54Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice TubelloSELL0.545$2.75
09-18 10:40Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD?BUY0.92$11.50
09-18 10:36Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Marat SharipovBUY0.32$15.04
09-18 10:36Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Kylie CollinsBUY0.25$10.00
09-18 10:34Simek Jakub vs. Oplt PavelBUY0.0827586161$1.00
09-18 10:33Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Petr Bar BiryukovBUY0.5599999955$10.00
09-18 10:32Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice TubelloBUY0.2376237586$10.00
09-18 10:31Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice TubelloSELL0.75$0.73
09-18 10:09Will FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Obolon Kyiv end in a draw?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
09-18 10:09Will Yanbian Longding vs. Guandong GZ-Power FC end in a draw?BUY0.3137254902$10.00
09-18 10:09Will Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau end in a draw?BUY0.2772277195$10.00