PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc0a5a1dbf19404e6e253329aaed5800dc41fbc9a

Realised P&L
$-116.88
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$18.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.3890.205$8.12$7.29
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.9401.000$1.89+$0.11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.5900.955$1.75+$0.67
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.957$1.68+$0.08
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0420.064$1.54+$0.52
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · No0.9400.983$1.38+$0.06
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9200.950$1.12+$0.04
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · Yes0.1500.085$0.64$0.49
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$0.55$1.06
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0430.003$0.07$0.98
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 07:20US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.004$0.03
02-25 21:00Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.041999961$1.02
02-25 16:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.82$1.68
02-25 00:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.8$1.64
02-24 21:25Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?SELL0.974$1.63
02-23 14:01US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799998982$1.76
02-23 13:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.23$1.71
02-23 05:00Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2329999188$1.73
02-23 04:00Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?SELL0.95$1.98
02-15 12:47Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?BUY0.95$1.98
02-15 11:22New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.16$1.61
02-15 10:57Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.9$2.87
02-12 16:58US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.33$0.05
02-12 07:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.24$1.03
02-12 07:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.25$1.07