PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

kjhtajan

0xc0a5a1dbf19404e6e253329aaed5800dc41fbc9a

Realised P&L
$-108.45
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$22.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.3890.335$13.28−$2.13
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.9401.000$1.89+$0.11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.5900.967$1.77+$0.69
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.968$1.70+$0.10
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · No0.9400.952$1.34+$0.02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0420.051$1.24+$0.22
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9200.960$1.13+$0.05
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · Yes0.1500.036$0.27−$0.86
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1600.018$0.18−$1.43
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0430.001$0.01−$1.04
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 07:20US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.004$0.03
02-25 21:00Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.041999961$1.02
02-25 16:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.82$1.68
02-25 00:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.8$1.64
02-24 21:25Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?SELL0.974$1.63
02-23 14:01US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799998982$1.76
02-23 13:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.23$1.71
02-23 05:00Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2329999188$1.73
02-23 04:00Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?SELL0.95$1.98
02-15 12:47Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?BUY0.95$1.98
02-15 11:22New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.16$1.61
02-15 10:57Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.9$2.87
02-12 16:58US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.33$0.05
02-12 07:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.24$1.03
02-12 07:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.25$1.07