0xc0993d3bedb437140c963b22bb95ce5d6f1ecd57
0xc0993d3bedb437140c963b22bb95ce5d6f1ecd57
- Realised P&L
- $-1.12
- Volume
- $229.09
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $4.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.395 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.500 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.170 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.04at 0.288SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$4.04at 0.288Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.332US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.91at 0.359Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $162.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:25 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:46 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:06 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:57 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 02:35 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:12 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:23 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:30 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9799991964 | $1.00 |