0xC08d6D3729a0652CC41dEc9D7760282fAcA11969-1781932097428
0xc08d6d3729a0652cc41dec9d7760282faca11969
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $64.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $700.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.922 | 0.935 | $374.00 | +$5.00 |
| Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.583 | 0.675 | $236.25 | +$32.25 |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.900 | $90.00 | +$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.436Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner
- +$533.73at 0.834Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
- +$378.53at 0.825Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Round
- +$370.88at 0.819Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$317.40at 0.830Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 06:44 | Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-16 06:44 | Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 08-20 11:41 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 08-20 09:53 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-20 09:46 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.951 | $95.10 |
| 08-20 09:45 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 08-20 09:42 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 08-20 08:52 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $399.59 |
| 08-20 08:25 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 08-20 07:57 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 08-20 07:24 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.989 | $197.80 |
| 08-20 07:16 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 08-20 07:10 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 08-20 03:50 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $21.79 |
| 08-16 11:40 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round | SELL | 0.9 | $549.88 |