0xc081ec1bf4ff905c000d7168a792957083a52a43
0xc081ec1bf4ff905c000d7168a792957083a52a43
- Realised P&L
- $7.65
- Volume
- $72.32
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $5.36
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.998 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.940 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.270 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.375 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.395 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.230 | 0.007 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.288SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 23:43 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:25 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:11 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:57 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:41 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:12 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 18:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:06 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:06 | Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |