PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

L30L3M

0xc080e247d5f9cf7772230e7b2a1da3c6c0b305bf

Realised P&L
$-21.49
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$100.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0340.056$48.47+$19.04
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? · No0.8900.865$41.45$1.20
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1130.077$10.12$4.64
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-05? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$0.22
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$40.00
Will Arsenal vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$20.00
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 13:14Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1129999992$14.76
09-08 13:12Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?SELL0.7375609756$15.12
09-07 11:00Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0339999989$29.43
09-07 11:00Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?SELL0.7741100324$31.10
07-24 13:04Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?BUY0.8899999994$96.64
07-12 22:41Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.57$19.95
06-25 18:14Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4899999939$20.00
11-04 19:37Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?BUY0.3599999921$20.00
11-04 19:36Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?SELL0.4001725$16.01
11-04 19:36Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?BUY0.42$16.80
10-28 20:05Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
10-28 20:03Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?BUY0.8$30.00
10-23 15:06Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23?BUY0.1899999969$40.00
10-09 08:35Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?BUY0.9150486419$15.00
10-08 12:04French election called by October 10?BUY0.6999999976$58.90