L30L3M
0xc080e247d5f9cf7772230e7b2a1da3c6c0b305bf
- Realised P&L
- $-21.49
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $100.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.056 | $48.47 | +$19.04 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? · No | 0.890 | 0.865 | $41.45 | −$1.20 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.077 | $10.12 | −$4.64 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-05? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.22 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Arsenal vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.24at 0.700French election called by October 10?
- +$20.51at 0.497Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.73at 0.673Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$16.80at 0.440Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?
- +$14.62at 0.582Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 13:14 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1129999992 | $14.76 |
| 09-08 13:12 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? | SELL | 0.7375609756 | $15.12 |
| 09-07 11:00 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0339999989 | $29.43 |
| 09-07 11:00 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? | SELL | 0.7741100324 | $31.10 |
| 07-24 13:04 | Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B? | BUY | 0.8899999994 | $96.64 |
| 07-12 22:41 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.57 | $19.95 |
| 06-25 18:14 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 11-04 19:37 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 11-04 19:36 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04? | SELL | 0.4001725 | $16.01 |
| 11-04 19:36 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04? | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 10-28 20:05 | Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 20:03 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 15:06 | Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23? | BUY | 0.1899999969 | $40.00 |
| 10-09 08:35 | Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.9150486419 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 12:04 | French election called by October 10? | BUY | 0.6999999976 | $58.90 |