0x45ecD635a8009Ca9007832759253Cb2CeD765cd3-1777670542913
0xc07a3519b21ebeafb364ca924481321ab5a55406
- Realised P&L
- $16.22
- Volume
- $718.82
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $46.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.70at 0.103Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.93at 0.505US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
- +$1.52at 0.390Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?
- +$1.39at 0.570US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.430Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:12 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:45 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:46 | Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.84 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.78 |
| 09-14 21:44 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 18:13 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 07:47 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 07:43 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.93 |
| 09-13 07:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.5 | $0.88 |
| 09-13 07:42 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.88 |
| 09-12 22:15 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.60 |
| 09-12 22:12 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.02 |
| 09-12 10:10 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 10:39 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.83 |