PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x45ecD635a8009Ca9007832759253Cb2CeD765cd3-1777670542913

0xc07a3519b21ebeafb364ca924481321ab5a55406

Realised P&L
$16.22
Volume
$718.82
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$46.03

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · Yes0.2950.395$13.40+$3.40
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3900.395$3.04+$0.04
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September? · No0.4000.560$2.80+$0.80
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.3130.708$2.26+$1.26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6000.670$2.23+$0.23
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.6100.675$2.21+$0.21
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · No0.7500.805$2.15+$0.15
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · No0.6700.710$2.12+$0.12
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September? · No0.4600.460$2.00+$0.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.400$2.00$0.00
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2700.265$1.96$0.04
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.6500.635$1.95$0.05
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3920.370$1.89$0.11
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes0.6700.730$1.88+$0.15
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? · Yes0.3700.440$1.19+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:12Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-17 15:45Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?BUY0.6699999163$2.00
09-17 15:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
09-17 07:46Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September?SELL0.54$2.84
09-15 21:22Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?SELL0.991$2.78
09-14 21:44Israeli election results in a hung parliament?BUY0.4099999816$2.00
09-13 18:13Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-13 07:47Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-13 07:43Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.29$0.93
09-13 07:422026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.5$0.88
09-13 07:42Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.7$1.88
09-12 22:15Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.65$1.60
09-12 22:12U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?SELL0.85$1.02
09-12 10:10Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
09-11 10:39Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.46$1.83