shy78
0xc0773ce2cedfe5975f1add8838f2f314393840fc
- Realised P&L
- $-319.76
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $39.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.881 | 0.878 | $21.08 | −$0.06 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.916 | 0.958 | $18.86 | +$0.82 |
| Stars vs. Rangers · Stars | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$305.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.07at 0.140Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$2.85at 0.260Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?
- +$1.41at 0.975Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?
- +$0.59at 0.630Ethereum above $3,700 on May 31?
- +$0.47at 0.717Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 06:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 06:39 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999977 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 06:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 06:38 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 06:38 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9849999967 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 06:38 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9689999889 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 06:36 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9159999517 | $18.04 |
| 12-02 09:34 | Stars vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.54 | $305.05 |
| 09-23 08:31 | Will XRP reach $6.00 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.83 |
| 09-23 08:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.983 | $21.63 |
| 01-06 13:16 | Leicester City wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $48.66 |
| 01-06 13:15 | Arsenal wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.8649998102 | $1.80 |
| 01-06 13:15 | West Ham United wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.994 | $50.46 |
| 12-30 03:00 | West Ham United wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.996 | $50.56 |
| 12-30 03:00 | Manchester United wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.20 |