0xc06db72d9879b03f7c44402fde5a247354411271
- Realised P&L
- $24.25
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $175.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.976 | $175.68 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.71at 0.870Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$2.56at 0.983Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$1.92at 0.985Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$1.05at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 17?
- +$0.45at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 01:55 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 05-15 01:54 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.967 | $178.89 |
| 03-30 12:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.87 | $160.95 |
| 03-30 05:19 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $157.60 |
| 03-30 05:18 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 03-19 06:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.983 | $157.28 |
| 03-17 11:22 | Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 03-16 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 03-15 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or higher on March 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 03-15 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.63 |
| 03-14 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 14? | BUY | 0.997 | $139.36 |
| 03-14 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $89.79 |