ZliZliZli
0xc06766fc1bc9843ca717b95cc64ab1e01c84de1d
- Realised P&L
- $-158.68
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $13.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.155 | $8.99 | −$7.83 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.029 | $4.28 | −$25.73 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.90 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.67at 0.808Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$0.00at 0.630Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 12:14 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BUY | 0.0609999944 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 11:56 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BUY | 0.0589999894 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 22:15 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 00:32 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0286684356 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 22:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 22:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 22:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 21:55 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 21:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 21:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 21:18 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.1059999556 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 20:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0879999627 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 20:45 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0749999672 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 20:42 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0869999631 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 20:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.1269999486 | $2.00 |