PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc062069870591f714003b29b14dc5e27cf8fb241

Realised P&L
$7.74
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$63.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.4940.841$30.26+$12.47
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8690.925$16.65+$1.01
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.105$5.25$3.25
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No0.8000.962$4.81+$0.81
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8900.915$4.58+$0.13
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.1940.134$0.80$0.36
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.1190.043$0.77$1.38
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1300.075$0.60$0.44
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? · No0.5500.000$0.00$3.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 11:02Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.89$4.45
07-19 08:22Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$1.20
07-18 11:13Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.13$1.56
07-18 06:03Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.92$6.44
07-15 07:07Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$6.30
07-13 12:52Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.194$1.16
07-13 11:47Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.13$1.04
07-06 15:47Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.07$1.12
07-06 11:12Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.944$4.72
07-06 09:12Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$9.96
07-06 07:57Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8$4.00
06-30 04:32Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.92$4.60
06-30 04:07Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.949$6.56
06-22 17:06Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.62
06-22 16:58Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.08