0xc062069870591f714003b29b14dc5e27cf8fb241
- Realised P&L
- $7.74
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $63.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.841 | $30.26 | +$12.47 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No | 0.869 | 0.925 | $16.65 | +$1.01 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.105 | $5.25 | −$3.25 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No | 0.800 | 0.962 | $4.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.915 | $4.58 | +$0.13 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.194 | 0.134 | $0.80 | −$0.36 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.043 | $0.77 | −$1.38 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.075 | $0.60 | −$0.44 |
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.50at 0.500Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
- +$12.11at 0.892Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.89at 0.500Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.270Maduro guilty of all counts?
- +$0.75at 0.946Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 11:02 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 07-19 08:22 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 07-18 11:13 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.56 |
| 07-18 06:03 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.44 |
| 07-15 07:07 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 07-13 12:52 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.194 | $1.16 |
| 07-13 11:47 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 07-06 15:47 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.12 |
| 07-06 11:12 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.944 | $4.72 |
| 07-06 09:12 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.96 |
| 07-06 07:57 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 06-30 04:32 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 06-30 04:07 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.949 | $6.56 |
| 06-22 17:06 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.62 |
| 06-22 16:58 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |