0xc059842A373cD9d8d0f67EFA054E3d60834daE14-1790420059260
0xc059842a373cd9d8d0f67efa054e3d60834dae14
- Realised P&L
- $-30.15
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $72.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.67at 0.196Will Charles Page win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?
- +$5.24at 0.420Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$4.33at 0.150Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
- +$4.15at 0.288Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?
- +$3.05at 0.470Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:10 | Paris curfew by October 24? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 13:37 | Paris curfew by October 31? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 11:03 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 21:01 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999625 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 11:49 | Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 07:44 | Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 17:04 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 14:46 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 06:22 | Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 05:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 16:19 | Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 16:19 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 16:19 | Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 05:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 01:16 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |