PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

tplyespt

0xc053618d1a07c8a37c3739e6d4ba4200698b1a44

Realised P&L
$3.85
Volume
$531.29
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$93.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 5? · Yes0.2600.435$6.58+$2.65
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 5? · No0.8000.940$4.68+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5? · No0.7510.835$4.65+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 5? · Yes0.3700.555$4.35+$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5? · No0.5530.575$4.06+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5? · No0.8630.967$3.62+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 5? · No0.7760.950$3.28+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 5? · No0.6110.530$3.20−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5? · No0.7270.760$3.05+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 4? · Yes0.3690.315$2.87−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5? · No0.5200.505$2.85−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5? · No0.7800.850$2.80+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5? · Yes0.3170.375$2.74+$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 5? · No0.6640.830$2.70+$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4? · No0.7200.645$2.65−$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 07:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?BUY0.3099999495$1.72
10-04 07:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?SELL0.53$0.04
10-04 07:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4?SELL0.57$0.19
10-04 07:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 4?SELL0.66$1.16
10-04 07:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 4?SELL0.14$0.03
10-04 06:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?SELL0.51$2.03
10-04 06:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 4?SELL0.9$0.31
10-04 06:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5?BUY0.8299998782$1.09
10-04 06:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4?SELL0.56$0.97
10-04 05:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 4?BUY0.7899999221$1.42
10-04 05:10Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4?BUY0.4599998269$1.01
10-04 05:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 5?BUY0.72$1.08
10-04 05:10Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4?BUY0.3599999374$1.84
10-04 05:10Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 4?SELL0.4$0.43
10-04 05:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?BUY0.7299999607$2.97