0xc04804d0cC1cD7Fe3ea7A00E247F55E62C1927D0-1781627156722
0xc04804d0cc1cd7fe3ea7a00e247f55e62c1927d0
- Realised P&L
- $-319.06
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.16at 0.396Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$37.50at 0.800Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?
- +$34.41at 0.400Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$21.06at 0.269Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
- +$20.06at 0.237Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:03 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November? | BUY | 0.44 | $9.78 |
| 11-01 02:58 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? | BUY | 0.77 | $150.00 |
| 10-27 21:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? | BUY | 0.4144453782 | $9.86 |
| 10-26 16:26 | Will Vox win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.9 | $39.59 |
| 10-22 22:28 | Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.65 | $50.98 |
| 10-22 09:28 | Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.3470177001 | $89.60 |
| 10-22 09:27 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.9260298259 | $144.68 |
| 10-22 01:57 | Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $149.99 |
| 10-22 00:36 | Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.19 |
| 10-21 21:58 | Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? | BUY | 0.34 | $90.79 |
| 10-21 18:31 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7053165015 | $97.50 |
| 10-21 16:37 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.71 | $16.56 |
| 10-21 15:58 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $52.45 |
| 10-21 13:31 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.7109758556 | $148.12 |
| 10-21 09:05 | Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.2925295508 | $92.80 |