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Traders

0xc04804d0cC1cD7Fe3ea7A00E247F55E62C1927D0-1781627156722

0xc04804d0cc1cd7fe3ea7a00e247f55e62c1927d0

Realised P&L
$-319.06
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.800$196.72+$46.72
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.6070.770$186.39+$39.53
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.7400.855$171.52+$23.07
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.7110.815$169.79+$21.67
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No0.7000.775$166.07+$16.07
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.7640.825$160.71+$11.91
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? · No0.7700.810$157.79+$7.79
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? · No0.6700.705$155.78+$7.73
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · No0.7940.825$154.68+$5.79
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.9260.987$154.21+$9.53
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026? · No0.4250.680$116.16+$43.61
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · No0.7050.815$112.66+$15.16
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? · Yes0.3400.405$108.15+$17.36
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.6000.649$100.14+$7.63
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7400.820$96.57+$9.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:03Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?BUY0.44$9.78
11-01 02:58Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?BUY0.77$150.00
10-27 21:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?BUY0.4144453782$9.86
10-26 16:26Will Vox win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.9$39.59
10-22 22:28Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.65$50.98
10-22 09:28Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.3470177001$89.60
10-22 09:27Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.9260298259$144.68
10-22 01:57Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?BUY0.8$149.99
10-22 00:36Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?BUY0.76$15.19
10-21 21:58Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?BUY0.34$90.79
10-21 18:31SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7053165015$97.50
10-21 16:37Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.71$16.56
10-21 15:58Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.85$52.45
10-21 13:31Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.7109758556$148.12
10-21 09:05Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.2925295508$92.80
Trader 0xc04804d0cC1cD7Fe3ea7A00E247F55E62C1927D0-1781627156722 · PolyBot Pro