PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mstrom

0xc03ff035a1f77a3ae6117d7edd63c604fca7d8ca

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$96.6k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$597.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1260.170$432.47+$111.11
Sweden snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.1650.160$48.47−$1.53
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.2270.195$42.90−$7.10
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0190.032$33.54+$13.54
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? · Yes0.1670.092$27.50−$22.30
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0400.025$12.49−$7.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 12:41Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?BUY0.1666169504$49.80
10-16 12:41Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.2272727273$50.00
10-16 12:40Sweden snap election called in 2026?BUY0.1650485434$50.00
10-14 16:24Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1588132354$100.00
09-29 19:52Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0400302469$20.00
09-29 19:52Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0190844146$20.00
09-22 17:29Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1184706021$50.00
09-21 13:06Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1153950262$154.28
09-18 17:36Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0486062073$50.00
09-15 15:56Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1153846152$50.00
09-15 15:56Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?SELL0.003$0.60
09-13 19:13Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1199999999$100.00
09-13 11:38Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.82$82.08
09-11 14:24Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.8230876623$329.56
09-09 19:00Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.7677220039$42.70