PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc03cd47e5bc3df14786d591c6d956d6a5e9d39a3

Realised P&L
$-7.68
Volume
$161.24
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$13.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1711.000$8.00+$6.63
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9130.200$3.28$11.72
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · Yes0.5501.000$1.82+$0.82
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$0.43
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.11
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.06
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.44
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$0.55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$0.12
GTA VI released before June 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$0.14
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.66

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 14:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.171$1.37
03-22 23:08Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999854$2.50
03-22 23:07Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999854$2.50
03-22 23:06Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999854$2.50
03-22 23:05Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099998508$2.50
03-22 23:04Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999853$2.50
03-22 23:04Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999853$2.50
03-22 23:02Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?BUY0.55$1.00
03-22 22:44Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.012$0.06
03-22 22:43Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.011$0.05
03-22 22:42Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.011$0.05
03-22 22:41Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.011$0.05
03-22 22:40Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.011$0.05
03-22 22:40Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.011$0.05
03-22 22:36Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.011$0.05