0xc03cd47e5bc3df14786d591c6d956d6a5e9d39a3
- Realised P&L
- $-7.68
- Volume
- $161.24
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $13.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.171 | 1.000 | $8.00 | +$6.63 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.913 | 0.200 | $3.28 | −$11.72 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.43 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.11 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.44 |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.55 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.12 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.14 |
| Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.66 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 14:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.171 | $1.37 |
| 03-22 23:08 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 23:07 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 23:06 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 23:05 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099998508 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 23:04 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999853 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 23:04 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999853 | $2.50 |
| 03-22 23:02 | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 22:44 | Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 03-22 22:43 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 03-22 22:42 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 03-22 22:41 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 03-22 22:40 | Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 03-22 22:40 | Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 03-22 22:36 | Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |