0xc031c6b1014f79d30317c166a2b774545bed866f
- Realised P&L
- $89.53
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $6.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down | 0.730 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.240 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.982 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.987 | 1.000 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.973 | $1.01 | +$0.00 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.938 | 0.918 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.85at 0.017Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$5.86at 0.364Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$4.54at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$2.49at 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$1.82at 0.363Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.9379991914 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 08:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 08:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 22:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:55 | Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | SELL | 0.66 | $0.97 |
| 08-05 10:51 | Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:39 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:39 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 10:39 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:33 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.96 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 10:33 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.971 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:33 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.9719999806 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:32 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.9779999883 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:32 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.971 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:23 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.962999557 | $1.00 |