PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc031c6b1014f79d30317c166a2b774545bed866f

Realised P&L
$89.53
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$6.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.7301.000$1.37+$0.37
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.240$1.33+$0.33
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.982$1.09+$0.09
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.9871.000$1.01+$0.01
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9720.973$1.01+$0.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.9380.918$0.98$0.02
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$1.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5970.000$0.00$1.00
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.9379991914$1.00
08-25 08:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.66$1.00
08-25 08:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-24 22:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.66$1.00
08-05 10:55Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsSELL0.66$0.97
08-05 10:51Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsBUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-04 10:39Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
08-04 10:39Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04?SELL0.75$0.98
08-04 10:39Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
08-04 10:33LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierSELL0.96$0.98
08-04 10:33LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierSELL0.971$1.00
08-04 10:33LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierBUY0.9719999806$1.00
08-04 10:32LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierBUY0.9779999883$1.00
08-04 10:32LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierSELL0.971$1.00
08-04 10:23LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierBUY0.962999557$1.00