0xc02d002da2748490bb552afc904ab0b9b1876767
- Realised P&L
- $129.98
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $17.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.33at 0.009World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
- +$26.61at 0.292Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$21.25at 0.320Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$10.11at 0.090Lionel Messi: 1+ shots
- +$9.00at 0.250Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:27 | BNB Up or Down - July 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0660376748 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 00:25 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 00:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 00:24 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:52 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:51 | Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0096771696 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:51 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:50 | Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 01:56 | Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 01:27 | Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 01:05 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0685989736 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 00:40 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 00:38 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.0543048473 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 00:38 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |