PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc02d002da2748490bb552afc904ab0b9b1876767

Realised P&L
$129.98
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$17.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31? · No0.2000.961$4.80+$3.81
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0120.019$1.58+$0.58
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0340.045$1.32+$0.32
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0310.032$1.02+$0.02
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes0.0390.040$1.01+$0.01
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.026$0.98$0.02
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0200.019$0.97$0.03
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0690.064$0.93$0.07
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0520.045$0.87$0.13
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.0410.033$0.80$0.20
Clavicular sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1700.130$0.76$0.24
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0380.025$0.66$0.34
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0500.028$0.55$0.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.021$0.36$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 00:27BNB Up or Down - July 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.0660376748$1.00
08-01 00:25Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
08-01 00:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 00:24Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-30 22:52Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
07-30 22:51Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0120000002$1.00
07-30 22:51Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.0096771696$1.00
07-30 22:51Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.01$1.00
07-30 22:50Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?BUY0.005$1.00
07-25 01:56Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?BUY0.001$1.00
07-20 01:27Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 130m by August 31?BUY0.2$1.00
07-20 01:05Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0685989736$1.00
07-20 00:40Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-20 00:38Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?BUY0.0543048473$1.00
07-20 00:38Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?BUY0.033999968$1.00