PolyBot

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Traders

EARTHDWELLER

0xc0184ef91c0f76c95a3401bb612372a8a20e018a

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$202.5k
Markets traded
495
Open portfolio
$153.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded495
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0970.039$80.13$119.87
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.5200.355$71.00$33.00
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0300.001$1.88$112.04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February? · Yes0.4430.000$0.00$221.50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$960.00
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? · Yes0.6230.000$0.00$530.90
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? · No0.6200.000$0.00$62.00
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$29.57
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? · No0.5100.000$0.00$51.00
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$221.18
Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$259.68
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00$209.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 18:12Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.29$101.79
05-08 18:09Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.52$104.00
05-08 18:08Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0973440069$200.00
05-04 21:47Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0307036346$80.00
05-04 09:10Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.034$13.03
05-04 09:10Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.575$179.51
05-04 09:09Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.575$57.50
05-04 09:08Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.033$24.15
05-04 09:07Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.21$105.00
05-04 09:07Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.44$101.20
05-04 09:03Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?SELL0.5400493583$65.65
05-04 09:02Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?SELL0.57$5.13
05-04 09:00Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?SELL0.6025298805$12.10
01-30 22:47Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?BUY0.8508363286$300.00
01-30 19:35Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?SELL0.995$373.13