EARTHDWELLER
0xc0184ef91c0f76c95a3401bb612372a8a20e018a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $202.5k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $153.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$539.45at 0.321$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
- +$427.03at 0.782Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
- +$346.74at 0.978Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$265.00at 0.220Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$248.01at 0.380Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:12 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.29 | $101.79 |
| 05-08 18:09 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 05-08 18:08 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0973440069 | $200.00 |
| 05-04 21:47 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0307036346 | $80.00 |
| 05-04 09:10 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $13.03 |
| 05-04 09:10 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.575 | $179.51 |
| 05-04 09:09 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.575 | $57.50 |
| 05-04 09:08 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $24.15 |
| 05-04 09:07 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 05-04 09:07 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.44 | $101.20 |
| 05-04 09:03 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | SELL | 0.5400493583 | $65.65 |
| 05-04 09:02 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.13 |
| 05-04 09:00 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | SELL | 0.6025298805 | $12.10 |
| 01-30 22:47 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.8508363286 | $300.00 |
| 01-30 19:35 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | SELL | 0.995 | $373.13 |