0xC017cBEA62f517b787FB8eEb08B5d4D7069fc979-1775818698816
0xc017cbea62f517b787fb8eeb08b5d4d7069fc979
- Realised P&L
- $-432.73
- Volume
- $49.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,410
- Open portfolio
- $598.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,410
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19? · No | 0.780 | 0.840 | $159.60 | +$11.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? · No | 0.784 | 0.785 | $148.72 | +$0.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? · No | 0.847 | 0.840 | $147.49 | −$1.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 19? · No | 0.800 | 0.770 | $142.91 | −$5.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.21at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 17?
- +$43.72at 0.742Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on April 12?
- +$42.34at 0.699Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18?
- +$40.04at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?
- +$37.77at 0.725Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7837563747 | $148.48 |
| 09-18 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $148.48 |
| 09-18 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.9956725245 | $124.08 |
| 09-18 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.997 | $141.85 |
| 09-18 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8471808098 | $148.75 |
| 09-17 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $137.63 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.78 | $148.20 |
| 09-17 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $123.88 |
| 09-17 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $93.83 |
| 09-17 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.72 | $98.46 |
| 09-17 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.62 |
| 09-17 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7943831494 | $99.00 |
| 09-16 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.7146239895 | $98.46 |
| 09-16 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6885944166 | $97.98 |
| 09-16 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $114.96 |