0xC00f4C023b4EE148150a355ED85d492CCA983ab0-1769704924387
0xc00f4c023b4ee148150a355ed85d492cca983ab0
- Realised P&L
- $-198.87
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $17.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.075 | $7.50 | −$8.50 |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.033 | $7.36 | −$12.50 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.028 | $2.62 | −$6.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.309Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$24.02at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$12.86at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$12.24at 0.290US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$11.58at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:49 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.099000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 13:34 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0809999951 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 16:22 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4019999904 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 12:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4119999906 | $20.00 |
| 05-07 16:57 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0939999798 | $4.00 |
| 05-07 13:26 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0949999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 15:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $7.34 |
| 05-05 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 01:48 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.093859258 | $20.00 |
| 05-03 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $7.00 |