PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Merlefgbn

0xc007a7fe4690e78dad4de67b8e9d48b8f2344b30

Realised P&L
$83.44
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$116.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.4900.785$104.41+$39.24
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? · No0.9980.996$11.97−$0.03
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffs · Metizport0.2600.000$0.00−$14.82
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00−$15.18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B · Astralis0.2100.000$0.00−$10.50
Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Pistons0.4000.000$0.00−$25.60
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · Athletic Club0.4800.000$0.00−$16.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:04Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.001$0.49
10-13 12:04Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.998$476.52
10-13 12:04Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.998$18.47
10-13 12:04Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$477.00
10-13 12:03Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.998$487.02
10-13 12:032026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.002$0.97
10-13 12:01Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.998$499.00
10-13 12:00Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?BUY0.998$12.00
10-13 12:00Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.999$518.00
10-13 12:002026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.997$483.55
10-13 06:52Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.49$65.17
09-14 05:55Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 PlayoffsBUY0.26$14.82
08-26 11:00Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)BUY0.48$16.80
08-13 11:46Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$27.72
08-13 11:46Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$83.16