0xc0040eb4e2e5f7e35a2d59ba9f81a4fed4cc1ad8
- Realised P&L
- $-56.19
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.009 | $4.72 | −$0.28 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.033 | $2.03 | −$2.97 |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.38 | −$4.69 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.041 | $0.96 | −$9.04 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No | 0.304 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.75 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.902 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.46 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 17:45 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.3037915625 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 17:59 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0042423989 | $1.07 |
| 07-20 17:09 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 13:17 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.6899998965 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 10:07 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.46 |
| 07-20 07:49 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0469999914 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 07:47 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 15:25 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4269999829 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 13:32 | Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1308453983 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 13:26 | Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1309998997 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 13:13 | Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1259999739 | $3.75 |
| 07-17 13:12 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9019999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 13:11 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4189999592 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 13:10 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9019999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 08:17 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |