alex124485
0xbffee77ecac186df09cfa7cc4b3613259e0db53d
- Realised P&L
- $-20.23
- Volume
- $496.97
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $24.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.430 | $19.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.090 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.05at 0.327Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
- +$9.98at 0.334Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
- +$2.26at 0.570US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$1.48at 0.575Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.23at 0.710Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:32 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0919523319 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:31 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4318659457 | $20.00 |
| 06-07 15:17 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0682222672 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 14:56 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4599999737 | $7.00 |
| 05-24 14:54 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 23:42 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 03-15 23:39 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5749997341 | $2.00 |
| 03-15 22:45 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 22:45 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 14:50 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 14:50 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 22:25 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.329999948 | $4.00 |
| 03-06 22:25 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 22:18 | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 12:24 | US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |