PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mronche

0xbffdb628ff0cbecc1fe9ccbe51ab30f0a72efab1

Realised P&L
$-619.17
Volume
$36.4k
Markets traded
808
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded808
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$9.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$0.35
Rocket League: Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO7) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Vitality0.4820.000$0.00$30.00
Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A · Cake Team0.7900.000$0.00$51.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$0.55
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5) · Skillcamp Esport0.5700.000$0.00$96.94
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? · Up0.0800.000$0.00$3.00
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4540.000$0.00$20.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$3.70
FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advance · FK Crvena zvezda0.7500.000$0.00$18.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.0330.000$0.00$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$0.25
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5) · Tirante0.6600.000$0.00$28.41
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 1? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.11
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs · Hanwha Life Esports0.4830.000$0.00$20.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 14:20Counter-Strike: paiN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group ABUY0.9099999995$99.76
09-24 03:22LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group ABUY0.7399999999$123.56
09-24 03:21Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Detonate (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 PlayoffsSELL0.999$125.34
09-24 01:35Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Detonate (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 PlayoffsBUY0.7406778076$67.71
09-24 01:29Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Detonate (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 PlayoffsBUY0.7341269775$25.00
09-23 23:26Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsSELL0.99$93.81
09-23 16:22Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsBUY0.4199999989$39.80
09-23 16:20Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group CSELL0.999$41.16
09-23 15:02Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group CBUY0.8$32.96
09-21 20:33Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group ABUY0.7899180584$51.00
09-21 08:35Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group ABUY0.7899999987$41.00
08-24 12:16Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageBUY0.94$116.00
08-24 12:16LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-InSELL0.999$116.54
08-24 10:29LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-InBUY0.8399999993$98.00
08-20 13:54LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.75$74.07