PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xbFf9d47bB49414834D89B55D5A486a26292122E0-1765048739675

0xbff9d47bb49414834d89b55d5a486a26292122e0

Realised P&L
$-26.96
Volume
$442.28
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$2.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4900.065$1.32−$8.64
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · Yes0.1200.011$0.92−$9.08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$7.70
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.3530.000$0.00−$6.80
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.95
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
Maduro mugshot released by Monday? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$7.20
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-13 09:32Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.08$8.00
01-11 08:40Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.49$9.97
01-11 07:55US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?BUY0.17$5.95
01-11 07:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.22$7.70
01-07 12:36Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.18$1.80
01-03 18:24Maduro mugshot released by Monday?BUY0.36$1.80
01-03 12:34Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.5099999939$10.92
01-03 12:25Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
01-03 12:21Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
12-08 16:29Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
12-07 12:05Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.5649999768$10.00
12-07 12:05Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.2299999825$8.00