PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jagu15

0xbff78b1492ba01e0a0b3fa2c9e5bd0697d653a9d

Realised P&L
$-155.42
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Italy leading at halftime? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$100.00
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5 · Over0.8900.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$300.00
Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6910.000$0.00−$140.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 20:33Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.9399999976$200.00
09-25 20:17Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.93$500.00
09-25 20:11Will France win on 2026-09-25?SELL0.8015439148$877.39
09-25 20:08Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5BUY0.8699999998$300.00
09-25 20:02Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.8099999993$200.00
09-25 19:59Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5499999995$100.00
09-25 19:22Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
09-25 19:21Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.57$200.00
09-25 19:12Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.6499999994$200.00
09-25 18:57Italy leading at halftime?BUY0.32$100.00
09-25 18:51Sweden vs. Romania: O/U 0.5BUY0.9639999999$600.00
09-25 18:49Italy vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.87$600.00
09-25 18:46Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.6899999999$400.00
09-25 18:44Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5BUY0.89$200.00
09-25 18:44Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.7299999998$500.00