pax
0xbfee5698af60058662c0d9b2874023420fa77272
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $506.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $12.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.282Trump wins every swing state?
- +$1.1kat 0.100Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$514.50at 0.510Vikings vs. Bears
- +$228.61at 0.007Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$226.13at 0.530Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:28 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $290.00 |
| 10-09 18:29 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $26.67 |
| 10-07 02:00 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $140.00 |
| 10-06 17:10 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $23.29 |
| 10-06 17:10 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 17:04 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $720.00 |
| 10-06 17:02 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.8k |
| 10-06 17:01 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 10-06 16:43 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $840.00 |
| 10-06 16:42 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 10-06 16:40 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.27 | $1.4k |
| 10-06 16:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.27 | $1.4k |
| 10-06 16:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.27 | $540.00 |
| 10-06 16:29 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.74 |
| 10-06 16:29 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $8.50 |