PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pax

0xbfee5698af60058662c0d9b2874023420fa77272

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$465.4k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$774.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)17.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.018$521.28$63.12
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.2400.295$106.70+$19.89
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0110.009$90.82$16.53
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$55.51$169.12
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$1.38
Wild vs. Avalanche · Wild0.1490.000$0.00$163.59
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Wolves0.2390.000$0.00$113.34
Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.3400.000$0.00$170.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 16:34Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.014$3.39
09-13 16:34Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0125188733$14.40
09-13 16:33Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.011$34.85
05-22 04:32Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.24$86.81
05-22 04:29Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$200.00
05-09 00:04NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves BUY0.24$101.08
05-08 23:42NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves BUY0.23$11.97
05-08 23:39Spurs vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.34$170.00
05-06 02:00Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.08$10.40
05-06 01:59Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.08$16.00
05-06 01:58Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.08$40.00
05-06 00:10Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.36$43.20
05-06 00:09Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.36$54.00
04-21 15:44Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.012$77.15
03-03 18:00Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.012$179.22