PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pax

0xbfee5698af60058662c0d9b2874023420fa77272

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$506.1k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$12.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)17.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3410.285$3.8k−$749.38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2700.235$3.1k−$468.99
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3520.285$2.5k−$587.97
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3730.275$1.3k−$474.83
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.021$610.64+$26.24
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2700.215$537.49−$137.50
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4700.405$404.94−$64.99
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0110.023$236.11+$124.55
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1240.075$201.04−$132.66
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$55.51−$169.12
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0800.055$55.00−$25.00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.1380.065$13.58−$15.30
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$1.38
Wild vs. Avalanche · Wild0.1490.000$0.00−$163.59
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Wolves0.2390.000$0.00−$113.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 23:28Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.29$290.00
10-09 18:29Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.14$26.67
10-07 02:00Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.35$140.00
10-06 17:10Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.12$23.29
10-06 17:10Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.006$4.00
10-06 17:04Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.36$720.00
10-06 17:02Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.36$1.8k
10-06 17:01Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.27$270.00
10-06 16:43Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$840.00
10-06 16:42Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$420.00
10-06 16:402026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.27$1.4k
10-06 16:382026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.27$1.4k
10-06 16:322026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.27$540.00
10-06 16:29Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.12$6.74
10-06 16:29Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.12$8.50