Afra326
0xbfe81afc7960fb62d7de584ce37bf0970db38360
- Realised P&L
- $27.52
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $660.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No | 0.985 | 0.992 | $660.67 | +$4.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.64at 0.740Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$10.58at 0.820EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
- +$9.16at 0.957Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.895Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$-2.87at 0.774Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 07:06 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $656.01 |
| 07-10 08:54 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $625.88 |
| 06-22 07:43 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.895 | $426.01 |
| 06-11 11:19 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $14.28 |
| 06-04 01:55 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $433.78 |
| 05-23 02:14 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.775 | $362.70 |
| 05-17 07:22 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.767 | $358.96 |
| 05-15 01:29 | Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.8 | $426.40 |
| 05-13 11:53 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.831 | $444.58 |
| 05-11 11:33 | Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $404.57 |
| 05-10 02:01 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.845 | $452.07 |
| 03-21 07:03 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.74 | $393.68 |