ngbf5y
0xbfe50957cf71024806cc715de550259f917d0bfb
- Realised P&L
- $-85.33
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $21.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howard vs. Rutgers: O/U 39.5 · Over | 0.970 | 0.870 | $21.24 | −$2.44 |
| Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 4? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.64at 0.500S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 4?
- +$20.25at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 31?
- +$20.05at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?
- +$19.48at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13?
- +$18.50at 0.500Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:51 | Howard vs. Rutgers: O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $4.1k |
| 08-30 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.39 |
| 07-10 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.34 |
| 07-04 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.985 | $8.87 |
| 06-19 02:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.04 |
| 05-20 00:30 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $6.38 |
| 05-14 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 15? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.93 |
| 05-08 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 04-09 11:19 | Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $14.40 |
| 02-19 15:32 | Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air? | BUY | 0.964 | $1.0k |
| 01-29 01:36 | Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January? | BUY | 0.973 | $668.45 |
| 01-29 01:19 | Will EA say "Jared" or "Kushner" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.962 | $698.41 |