PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ngbf5y

0xbfe50957cf71024806cc715de550259f917d0bfb

Realised P&L
$-85.33
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$21.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Howard vs. Rutgers: O/U 39.5 · Over0.9700.870$21.24$2.44
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00$25.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$20.50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$22.50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$20.50
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 4? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$21.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 12:51Howard vs. Rutgers: O/U 39.5BUY0.97$4.1k
08-30 02:38Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 31?BUY0.997$10.39
07-10 02:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 11?BUY0.969$9.34
07-04 03:14Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 5?BUY0.985$8.87
06-19 02:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?BUY0.99$12.04
05-20 00:30Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.957$6.38
05-14 12:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 15?BUY0.992$8.93
05-08 00:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9?BUY0.99$11.87
04-09 11:19Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 4.5BUY0.8$14.40
02-19 15:32Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air?BUY0.964$1.0k
01-29 01:36Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?BUY0.973$668.45
01-29 01:19Will EA say "Jared" or "Kushner" during earnings call?BUY0.962$698.41